How the Pan-Arab Electricity Market Can Promote Regional Cooperation and Economic Recovery

posted on: Feb 20, 2021

SOURCE: BROOKINGS. EDU

BY: PAUL NOUMBA UM AND WALEED ALSURAIH

The benefits of electricity trade among countries cannot be overemphasized. Regional electricity trade allows utilities and market participants to take advantage of economies of scale, which enables the development of large-capacity plants and access to efficient low-cost supply options. It provides more flexibility in accessing generation capacity from other countries in the region and an opportunity for countries to meet their capacity and energy reserve requirements at lower cost. The pooling of resources provides security benefits stemming from the diversity of both supply and demand derived from integrating power systems across the region. Environmental benefits come from the ability of integrated electricity systems to use a higher share of renewable energy resources and rely less on liquid fuel generation.

Recognizing these benefits, the Arab Ministerial Councils for Electricity (AMCE), under the League of Arab States (LAS) umbrella, has made establishing a Pan-Arab Electricity Market (PAEM) a priority. Working with the World Bank, the LAS and Arab countries have made a strong economic case for greater integration among the power systems in the region, underpinned by establishing and operating the PAEM. The agreements of the PAEM are designed to become legally binding to any Arab country that signs them—by facilitating electricity trade transactions.

The AMCE approved the ratification process of the PAEM legal and market agreements in the summer of 2020, which sets the path for Arab countries to finalize their internal procedures in preparation for signing the agreements in 2021. While this marks an important milestone in the process of establishing the PAEM, its effective operationalization will be a long and complex process that requires greater commitment and support from participating governments. Past Pan-Arab regional integration agreements may have failed to gain the needed traction among governments, but the momentum establishing the PAEM now is different and unique for many reasons. The imbalanced energy resources across the region, the energy transition agenda, the unique position of countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) to exploit solar power, the rapid cost decline of renewable energy technologies, as well as the exponential growth of renewable energy technologies, mean governments in the region would benefit greatly by optimizing their cleaner energy resources and diversity of demand patterns when operating the PAEM. The PAEM enables countries to integrate their national grids and therefore commit to commercial cross-border electricity trade.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the need to limit the region’s vulnerability to global oil price volatilities, has added a new sense of urgency and a renewed political commitment to rethinking regional supply chains and integration. The rapid population growth in MENA, coupled with an industrial and economic recovery following the pandemic, means the demand for power will continue to increase—making availability of reliable electricity supply a pressing priority for Arab countries going forward. The fiscal constraint imposed by COVID-19 and the criticality of the power sector to economic revival following the pandemic emphasizes the importance of the PAEM for all participating countries in both the short and the long term. Active commercial trade through the PAEM would bring significant value to the treasuries, utilities, and citizens of the region.